If you’re Brad Ellsworth and running for the U.S. Senate on an unpopular president’s agenda, this isn’t the kind of short list you want to see your name on:

Ten people who could decide health care reform

Sen. Evan Bayh’s decision to retire could hurt Democrats in more ways than they thought if Ellsworth, the party’s leading candidate to fill his seat, decides to vote “no” on the final bill.

After all, Ellsworth’s “yes” vote proved critical in November, but failure to resolve the abortion question could provoke him to jump ship, because Indiana remains a conservative state in which the religious right holds powerful sway.

And if Ellsworth goes, what’s to keep fellow Indiana Reps. Joe Donnelly and Baron Hill on board? — Politico

In other words, Ellsworth can take the credit for the limited success that health care reform legislation has had to this point, and if it passes, could be the guy that gets it done.  The bad news?  That kind of legislative resume is only good for about 20% of the electorate that still thinks any of this is a good idea.